Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.098003 0.113456 0.130350 0.150162 0.172731 0.197611 0.227089
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.076237 0.097029 0.121764 0.153245 0.192123 0.238432 0.297632
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062616 0.086659 0.117465 0.159558 0.215267 0.286116 0.382644
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.049583 0.074133 0.107797 0.156853 0.225928 0.319034 0.453188
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.043223 0.069192 0.106996 0.165256 0.251798 0.374386 0.559606
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.036773 0.062762 0.102757 0.167671 0.268938 0.419008 0.655677
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.030417 0.055200 0.095415 0.163960 0.275918 0.448951 0.732863
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025733 0.049461 0.089914 0.162055 0.284962 0.482330 0.818013
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023660 0.047850 0.090920 0.170828 0.312048 0.546446 0.957597
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021708 0.046084 0.091312 0.178416 0.337731 0.610446 1.102706
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018401 0.041108 0.085099 0.173178 0.340107 0.635070 1.183345
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016066 0.037658 0.081215 0.171639 0.348745 0.670974 1.286269
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013607 0.033558 0.075556 0.166113 0.349664 0.693888 1.369689
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011773 0.030495 0.071548 0.163330 0.355513 0.726376 1.473732
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010691 0.028963 0.070552 0.166630 0.373790 0.783946 1.629992
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009181 0.026098 0.066168 0.162017 0.375188 0.808789 1.725344
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008668 0.025656 0.067248 0.169657 0.403315 0.889256 1.937238
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007862 0.024283 0.065916 0.171570 0.419146 0.946024 2.106093
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006838 0.022102 0.062259 0.167481 0.421050 0.973862 2.217661
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006046 0.020415 0.059581 0.165377 0.427194 1.011131 2.351991
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.005822 0.020372 0.061196 0.174225 0.460007 1.109184 2.624411
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.005557 0.020154 0.062303 0.181899 0.490777 1.205218 2.899817
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004835 0.018320 0.058650 0.176540 0.488932 1.227420 3.013242